SOME SAW THE CRASH. HE SAW OPPORTUNITY.
he read every page of the mortgage bonds, found the rot on page 4,000, and shorted the entire thing while the whole floor laughed.
the simple version: $BIGFLY is the coin of a fly who is short. not short-term. just short. he opened the position years ago, he has never closed it, and every morning he checks the tape and says "still early".
he sits in a glass office with his shoes on the desk and a cigar he never lights properly. the phone rings all day. it is always the same people asking him to close the trade, and it is always the same answer: no.
THE BOOK · 8 POSITIONS
TAPE · EVENTS
they call before the market opens to tell him he is wrong, and they call after the close to tell him he is still wrong. he keeps the receiver on his eye and lets them finish. the sign behind his desk has not been taken down once.
when the wall finally turned red he did not celebrate, he just wrote the number down in a notebook nobody has ever seen. someone asked him how he knew. he said he did not know anything, he just read the pages the rest of them skipped.
on weekends he drives out to look at the houses in the bonds he owns a short against. he does not talk to anybody there, he just counts the signs on the lawns and writes the number on the back of his hand.
one billion, printed once, on paper he refused to reprint. he counted it twice, put the sheet in the drawer with the bond prospectus, and has not opened that drawer since.
the keys went into the same ashtray as the cigar he never finishes. he says a position you can walk away from is not a position, it is an opinion, and he does not trade opinions.
nothing on the way in, nothing on the way out. the fly already made his money being early and wrong for four years, he is not going to take a percent off you for buying a jpeg of his face.
he signed the contract away without reading it, which he admits is the single most out-of-character thing he has ever done. then he put his shoes back on the desk and went back to watching the tape.
eight bonds, eight rotten loans, one fly who read every page. the floor that laughed at him for four years is now on the phone asking if he is hiring.
BUY $BIGFLY